TakeYourTemperature
0x9c237ad435792d8d435bb7df9105330640597c89
- Realised P&L
- $142.14
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $929.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.53at 0.387Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 19?
- +$23.44at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?
- +$20.69at 0.202Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?
- +$19.80at 0.564Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 19?
- +$12.12at 0.581Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5599999686 | $2.85 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.2899999816 | $3.93 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.8399999937 | $10.63 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20? | BUY | 0.0600281137 | $1.05 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.64 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.1299999892 | $1.20 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.729999945 | $3.85 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.11 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.6303030303 | $3.25 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.890999994 | $10.62 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.86 |
| 10-20 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.8029999284 | $4.05 |
| 10-20 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.489999996 | $6.18 |