archi54570
0x36469210b7ced93ec7d7fd635bf66df0b898ba5a
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $260.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,640
- Open portfolio
- $86.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,640
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.59at 0.131Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?
- +$212.84at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?
- +$183.25at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?
- +$168.17at 0.152Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?
- +$161.95at 0.258Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.14 |
| 09-21 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-21 10:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21? | SELL | 0.565 | $6.78 |
| 09-21 09:47 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias? | BUY | 0.117 | $2.34 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle? | BUY | 0.0111919049 | $0.95 |
| 09-21 07:29 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo? | BUY | 0.247 | $3.90 |
| 09-21 07:16 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 07:15 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-21 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.76 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-21 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.97 |
| 09-21 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.4608433364 | $14.97 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-20 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.88 | $22.01 |
| 09-20 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.87 |