PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

archi54570

0x36469210b7ced93ec7d7fd635bf66df0b898ba5a

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$260.9k
Markets traded
1,640
Open portfolio
$86.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,640
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21? · Yes0.4160.750$38.59+$17.16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? · Yes0.2630.385$20.69+$6.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21? · Yes0.2060.235$7.31+$0.89
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias? · Yes0.1170.266$5.30+$2.97
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0900.105$5.25+$0.75
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo? · Yes0.2470.231$3.64$0.26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22? · No0.3200.327$3.27+$0.07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1200.060$2.40$2.40
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle? · Yes0.0110.003$0.25$0.70
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? · No0.3300.001$0.01$3.29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18? · Yes0.6730.000$0.00$17.35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 24? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00$4.21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 17? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00$11.06
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 17? · Yes0.3450.000$0.00$10.49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 15? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:37Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21?BUY0.72$5.14
09-21 14:37Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21?BUY0.71$3.55
09-21 10:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?SELL0.565$6.78
09-21 09:47Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?BUY0.117$2.34
09-21 09:46Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?BUY0.0111919049$0.95
09-21 07:29Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?BUY0.247$3.90
09-21 07:16Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?SELL0.07$1.40
09-21 07:15Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?SELL0.09$2.70
09-21 07:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?BUY0.22$3.76
09-21 06:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21?BUY0.35$1.75
09-21 06:45Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21?BUY0.34$2.97
09-21 06:22Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21?SELL0.4608433364$14.97
09-20 21:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?BUY0.33$3.30
09-20 21:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?SELL0.88$22.01
09-20 21:19Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 20?SELL0.89$17.87