PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OnlyLuckNoBrain

0x6a8d1709bfb718d8555d315a983c4816278350f9

Realised P&L
$33.9k
Volume
$3.53M
Markets traded
23,815
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded23,815
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2? · Yes0.1570.440$390.49+$250.83
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? · Yes0.4770.738$216.04+$76.40
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? · Yes0.5750.750$182.05+$42.44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2? · Yes0.4700.785$159.57+$64.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 2? · Yes0.4890.540$154.41+$14.60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2? · Yes0.3850.705$146.60+$66.63
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? · No0.7411.000$139.93+$36.23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 3? · No0.8530.960$117.11+$13.02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2? · Yes0.2890.440$115.48+$39.68
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 2? · No0.6530.999$112.37+$38.86
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.3600.998$106.79+$68.27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 2? · Yes0.4360.465$104.38+$6.59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 3? · No0.5870.570$103.74−$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3? · Yes0.3350.500$101.01+$33.39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? · Yes0.3500.500$99.51+$29.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?SELL0.999$205.95
09-10 20:39Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 12?BUY0.44$15.00
09-10 19:30Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 12?BUY0.2$1.00
09-10 19:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 12?BUY0.65$15.00
09-10 19:17Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 11?BUY0.23$1.72
09-10 18:57Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 11?BUY0.13$7.91
09-10 18:37Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 12?BUY0.15$5.63
09-10 18:26Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 12?BUY0.16$4.05
09-10 18:26Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12?BUY0.65$7.50
09-10 17:41Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 11?BUY0.35$1.82
09-10 17:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 11?BUY0.16$0.02
09-10 17:30Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 12?BUY0.58$22.50
09-10 17:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 11?BUY0.15$2.53
09-10 15:56Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 11?BUY0.7$1.88
09-10 15:42Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 12?BUY0.71$7.50