PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-02
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.42. down 0.27 over the period, from 0.69. Range 0.20 to 0.76. 28 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.43115115
0.44138253
0.4510263
0.46158421
0.4733454
0.4895549
0.4939588
0.50147735
0.52167902
0.5368970
0.581001,070
0.59601,130

Spread0.02Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.41164164
0.40348512
0.39377889
0.3820909
0.327916
0.3120936
0.296751,611
0.28201,631
0.277672,398
0.261912,588
0.251,0813,669
0.24173,686

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.59164164
0.60348512
0.61377889
0.6220909
0.687916
0.6920936
0.716751,611
0.72201,631
0.737672,398
0.741912,588
0.751,0813,669
0.76173,686

Spread0.02Mid0.58

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.57115115
0.56138253
0.5510263
0.54158421
0.5333454
0.5295549
0.5139588
0.50147735
0.48167902
0.4768970
0.421001,070
0.41601,130

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WrongBy1DegreeYes338.99
mashuuuYes322.14
AMAM13Yes240.01
tradetosurvive1Yes212.26
frogcastYes208.41
0x86BDD03679bf4d43211Ffaea5C58C59800162C98-1771613355359Yes128.21
0xfd36…a832Yes87.23
HoppySnoppyYes80
trade1112026Yes75
0x342C086bF1A800B568f2BF24130d39057220De11-1772034467143Yes70
mashuuuuYes53.24
psysloYes48.82
jaboobeliteYes47.3
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes42.33
0x973Yes40
arsenal85Yes39
newbie147Yes36.61
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408Yes30
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes23.97
AJSVYes23.18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:38:48BUYYes0.409317803373$30.00
07:24:33BUYYes0.38999993375$2.00
07:24:33BUYYes0.389999999677$30.00
07:23:03SELLNo0.612$1.22
07:22:15SELLNo0.6112$7.41
07:18:48BUYYes0.3970$27.30
07:16:59BUYYes0.389999998649$19.04
07:00:21BUYYes0.3899999976128$50.00
06:21:26BUYNo0.61999985122$1.00
06:21:18BUYYes0.3915$6.00
06:12:56BUYNo0.625$3.10
06:10:42BUYNo0.645$3.20
06:08:29BUYNo0.645$3.20
06:07:54BUYYes0.396$2.43
06:06:12BUYNo0.645$3.20
06:05:09SELLNo0.615$3.05
06:04:00BUYNo0.645$3.20
06:01:47BUYNo0.645$3.20
05:59:26BUYNo0.645$3.20
05:57:14BUYNo0.645$3.20
05:49:33SELLNo0.612$1.05
05:43:56BUYYes0.389999999677$30.00
05:27:03BUYNo0.6416$9.92
04:38:06BUYYes0.38999993373$1.00
04:36:50BUYYes0.38828395068$3.15