trade1112026
0xc6e299b9f4f97545f86169d8528fe0a8a80706f4
- Realised P&L
- $-549.17
- Volume
- $130.3k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $407.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.52at 0.952WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?
- +$149.94at 0.225Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?
- +$147.00at 0.510WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?
- +$117.94at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 24?
- +$115.42at 0.340SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.48 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $72.92 |
| 09-15 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.05 |
| 09-15 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $78.99 |
| 09-15 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 09-15 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.89 |
| 09-12 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.83 |
| 09-12 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 09-12 02:07 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $22.98 |
| 09-11 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.89 |
| 09-11 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 09-11 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $83.73 |
| 09-09 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.91 |
| 09-09 14:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.95 |
| 09-07 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.84 |