PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408

0x3340d23de3275300f88abfd8803b2f9ea15f13c8

Realised P&L
$-708.32
Volume
$151.0k
Markets traded
6,493
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,493
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? · No0.4460.993$41.71+$22.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8290.875$35.00+$1.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2? · No0.8740.900$31.69+$0.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.9170.925$27.75+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 4? · No0.8650.865$27.68+$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 4? · No0.8990.875$27.13−$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3? · Yes0.2500.395$26.45+$9.71
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 4? · Yes0.3100.460$25.76+$8.40
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 3? · No0.9420.975$25.35+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 4? · No0.8270.890$24.92+$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 3? · No0.6900.910$23.66+$5.72
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 3? · No0.8240.840$23.52+$0.46
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2? · Yes0.3250.490$23.51+$7.92
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3? · No0.8000.940$23.50+$3.50
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 3? · No0.7840.710$23.43−$2.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 12:26Will FC Penafiel win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.48$3.84
11-02 12:15Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.85$4.25
11-02 12:15Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?BUY0.78$3.90
11-02 12:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on November 4?BUY0.93$19.53
11-02 12:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 4?BUY0.9168564917$19.25
11-02 12:07Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.78$3.90
11-02 12:03Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY0.68$3.40
11-02 11:56Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5BUY0.54$2.70
11-02 11:56Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5BUY0.54$2.70
11-02 11:50CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5BUY0.58$2.90
11-02 11:45Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ABUY0.5$9.00
11-02 11:44Spread: Magic (-1.5)BUY0.52$4.16
11-02 11:42Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2?SELL0.998$7.98
11-02 11:42Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 2?SELL0.998$6.99
11-02 11:42Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?SELL0.995$9.95