0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
0x3340d23de3275300f88abfd8803b2f9ea15f13c8
- Realised P&L
- $-15.34
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $242.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.25at 0.250Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
- +$17.80at 0.350Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$12.82at 0.150Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
- +$9.38at 0.242Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
- +$8.36at 0.180Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:27 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 01:27 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 01:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 3? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 08-04 00:46 | Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.929 | $4.65 |
| 08-04 00:05 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $4.71 |
| 08-03 23:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-03 23:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on August 3? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-03 21:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.956 | $4.78 |
| 08-03 20:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 08-03 20:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 20:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-03 18:47 | Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.97 |
| 08-03 18:37 | Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $4.79 |
| 08-03 18:26 | Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 08-03 17:55 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |