PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408

0x3340d23de3275300f88abfd8803b2f9ea15f13c8

Realised P&L
$-15.34
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$242.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.9640.999$5.99+$0.21
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.8800.994$5.96+$0.68
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9200.979$5.87+$0.35
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.9690.976$5.85+$0.04
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · Yes0.9170.975$5.85+$0.34
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · No0.8860.974$5.84+$0.53
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.8900.973$5.83+$0.49
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9560.962$5.77+$0.04
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · No0.9550.962$5.77+$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.9130.959$5.75+$0.27
Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? · No0.9500.948$5.69$0.01
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.9200.940$5.64+$0.12
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.8800.932$5.59+$0.31
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.8800.910$5.46+$0.18
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? · No0.8960.905$5.43+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 01:27Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
08-04 01:27Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.998$4.99
08-04 01:06Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 3?SELL0.996$4.98
08-04 00:46Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?BUY0.929$4.65
08-04 00:05Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.941$4.71
08-03 23:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?BUY0.91$4.55
08-03 23:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on August 3?SELL0.995$4.97
08-03 21:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.956$4.78
08-03 20:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.969$4.84
08-03 20:40Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3?SELL0.999$5.00
08-03 20:09Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.97$4.85
08-03 18:47Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?SELL0.995$5.97
08-03 18:37Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.957$4.79
08-03 18:26Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.946$4.73
08-03 17:55Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.91$4.55