0x342C086bF1A800B568f2BF24130d39057220De11-1772034467143
0x342c086bf1a800b568f2bf24130d39057220de11
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $121.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,008
- Open portfolio
- $2.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,008
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.28at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?
- +$163.84at 0.539Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?
- +$159.15at 0.714Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?
- +$157.93at 0.738Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?
- +$149.02at 0.653Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.93 |
| 09-22 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0778 | $7.78 |
| 09-22 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.95 |
| 09-21 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8627777778 | $31.06 |
| 09-21 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-21 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 09-20 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.99 | $27.35 |
| 09-20 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-20 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.24 |
| 09-19 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.57 | $50.94 |
| 09-19 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.77 |
| 09-19 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.74 | $17.02 |