PolyBot

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Traders

arsenal85

0x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$94.1k
Markets traded
1,164
Open portfolio
$300.90

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,164
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? · Yes0.3690.435$49.30+$7.45
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? · Yes0.3800.560$33.33+$10.71
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.3611.000$33.22+$21.21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 20? · Yes0.2100.255$25.51+$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes0.6081.000$25.24+$9.88
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? · Yes0.4050.410$21.39+$0.24
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 19? · Yes0.3600.330$19.33$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20? · Yes0.3600.370$18.63+$0.50
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 18? · Yes0.2540.250$18.31$0.32
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 20? · Yes0.3810.350$18.26$1.63
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 19? · Yes0.2890.240$17.35$3.56
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.3150.235$15.90$5.44
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes0.0500.140$4.76+$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.3700.003$0.12$15.27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes0.1560.001$0.12$36.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19?BUY0.4299999965$19.80
09-19 00:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.3599999936$18.13
09-19 00:04Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.209999998$21.01
09-18 21:41Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18?SELL0.42$8.40
09-18 20:49Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?SELL0.48$4.80
09-18 20:49Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?SELL0.48$4.80
09-18 20:46Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?BUY0.53$5.35
09-18 20:33Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18?SELL0.28$6.81
09-18 20:33Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.25$18.75
09-18 20:29Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.05$1.50
09-18 20:22Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.04$3.54
09-18 20:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.0361441871$1.67
09-18 19:41Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18?BUY0.61$3.05
09-18 19:40Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.4$6.00
09-18 18:17Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.4819610159$16.32