arsenal85
0x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $94.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,164
- Open portfolio
- $300.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,164
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.82at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?
- +$187.93at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$168.31at 0.357Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 28?
- +$142.17at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?
- +$132.25at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4299999965 | $19.80 |
| 09-19 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.3599999936 | $18.13 |
| 09-19 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.209999998 | $21.01 |
| 09-18 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-18 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.35 |
| 09-18 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.28 | $6.81 |
| 09-18 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $18.75 |
| 09-18 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.54 |
| 09-18 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.0361441871 | $1.67 |
| 09-18 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-18 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4819610159 | $16.32 |