arsenal85
0x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 654
- Open portfolio
- $206.77
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded654
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.12at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$173.92at 0.345Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 28?
- +$106.33at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$99.47at 0.329Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 31?
- +$73.16at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.6128217054 | $11.86 |
| 08-04 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.27 | $16.20 |
| 08-04 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 08-04 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.94 |
| 08-04 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.33 |
| 08-04 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $13.73 |
| 08-04 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.4046666667 | $6.07 |
| 08-04 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.76 |
| 08-04 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4225 | $8.45 |
| 08-04 19:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4970880361 | $11.01 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.70 |
| 08-04 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.37 |
| 08-04 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.91 |
| 08-04 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.91 |