0x86BDD03679bf4d43211Ffaea5C58C59800162C98-1771613355359
0x86bdd03679bf4d43211ffaea5c58c59800162c98
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $93.7k
- Markets traded
- 428
- Open portfolio
- $43.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded428
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$351.19at 0.127Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8?
- +$322.41at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11?
- +$234.50at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?
- +$207.63at 0.306Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6?
- +$192.93at 0.305Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5024630487 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.0690978881 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5020623113 | $25.00 |
| 10-09 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4718249718 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $8.72 |
| 10-09 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1059258781 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.0802487274 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.0486590943 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4363557026 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3443266147 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3842794652 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3266666667 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3090775218 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.3180976952 | $18.49 |
| 10-09 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1722967369 | $9.00 |