PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x86BDD03679bf4d43211Ffaea5C58C59800162C98-1771613355359

0x86bdd03679bf4d43211ffaea5c58c59800162c98

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$93.7k
Markets traded
428
Open portfolio
$43.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded428
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 14:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.5024630487$20.00
10-09 14:21Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.0690978881$3.00
10-09 14:17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.5020623113$25.00
10-09 14:16Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.4718249718$20.00
10-09 14:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.45$8.72
10-09 14:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.1059258781$10.00
10-09 14:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.0802487274$10.00
10-09 14:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.0486590943$10.00
10-09 14:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.4363557026$30.00
10-09 14:06Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.3443266147$30.00
10-09 14:01Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.3842794652$10.00
10-09 14:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.3266666667$4.90
10-09 13:59Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.3090775218$20.00
10-09 13:59Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?SELL0.3180976952$18.49
10-09 13:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.1722967369$9.00