0xfd368530e2d6b22677eeb90c89b29e232670a832
- Realised P&L
- $-12.7k
- Volume
- $532.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,473
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,473
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.388 | 1.000 | $515.79 | +$315.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 18? · No | 0.936 | 0.915 | $391.08 | −$8.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.630 | $311.16 | +$111.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.615 | $85.25 | +$2.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.665 | $73.89 | +$23.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.525 | $65.19 | +$13.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.635 | $64.80 | +$14.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.670 | $40.20 | +$10.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.401Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 24?
- +$976.54at 0.424Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?
- +$830.77at 0.494Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
- +$800.01at 0.435Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?
- +$698.69at 0.507Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9418072188 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4195804184 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4101722724 | $150.00 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4499999966 | $20.01 |
| 09-17 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $29.99 |
| 09-17 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4255536475 | $277.55 |
| 09-16 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.41 | $72.34 |
| 09-16 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-16 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4991680532 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.86 |