0xfd368530e2d6b22677eeb90c89b29e232670a832
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $346.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,046
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,046
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$851.19at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
- +$817.31at 0.423Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?
- +$694.73at 0.463Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 22?
- +$664.20at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?
- +$603.72at 0.498Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3893708161 | $67.95 |
| 08-04 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.339258784 | $227.39 |
| 08-04 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 08-04 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3654496378 | $12.85 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4545487661 | $227.84 |
| 08-03 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3736462638 | $76.86 |
| 08-03 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.44 | $72.16 |
| 08-03 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 08-03 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3715791559 | $37.51 |
| 08-03 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3275233016 | $131.42 |
| 08-03 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $34.90 |