PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfd368530e2d6b22677eeb90c89b29e232670a832

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$346.0k
Markets traded
1,046
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,046
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes0.3490.385$331.01+$31.02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? · Yes0.4510.465$309.34+$9.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.3390.345$305.13+$5.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 3? · No0.9201.000$108.64+$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3? · No0.9361.000$106.82+$6.82
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 3? · No0.9401.000$106.33+$6.33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4? · No0.9000.925$102.78+$2.78
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? · No0.9100.933$102.53+$2.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? · No0.9400.945$100.53+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4? · No0.8400.820$97.62$2.38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? · No0.7900.700$88.54$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4? · No0.8600.645$75.00$25.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? · Yes0.4500.455$50.56+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 3? · Yes0.4101.000$24.38+$14.38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 3? · Yes0.4481.000$22.32+$12.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:44Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?BUY0.4499999955$50.00
08-04 00:37Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.3893708161$67.95
08-04 00:25Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.339258784$227.39
08-04 00:23Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.31$4.65
08-04 00:06Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.3654496378$12.85
08-04 00:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.38$1.90
08-03 23:34Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4?BUY0.4545487661$227.84
08-03 23:31Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.3736462638$76.86
08-03 23:29Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4?BUY0.44$72.16
08-03 23:25Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.38$1.90
08-03 22:59Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.9$100.00
08-03 22:54Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.38$2.66
08-03 22:41Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.3715791559$37.51
08-03 22:29Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.3275233016$131.42
08-03 22:28Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.28$34.90