PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mashuuuu

0x72da12d9e58123844505c82448a172018386a89e

Realised P&L
$-77.70
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 27? · No0.9300.955$30.19+$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 27? · No0.9220.946$30.14+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27? · No0.8750.895$28.25+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? · No0.8720.755$26.40−$4.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 27? · No0.8320.830$25.88−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 28? · No0.9000.895$25.77−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 27? · No0.8600.815$25.03−$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? · No0.9060.910$24.93+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 28? · No0.8260.790$22.40−$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 28? · No0.9000.905$22.06+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 27? · No0.7740.890$22.05+$2.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 28? · No0.8800.945$21.39+$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 27? · No0.9300.985$21.22+$1.18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27? · No0.8800.905$21.00+$0.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28? · No0.8400.800$19.49−$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?BUY0.5$3.14
08-24 02:48Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 24?SELL0.63$11.83
08-24 02:48Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?SELL0.6108170293$39.03
08-24 02:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 24?SELL0.57$0.87
08-23 14:56Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 23?SELL0.999$71.87