PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KORD&format=raw&date=2026-11-05T09:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.22 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.13 to 0.36. 9 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1455
0.15260265
0.1610276
0.1742318
0.1920338
0.2930368
0.3025393
0.3145438
0.3210448
0.3750498
0.3820518
0.53100618

Spread0.03Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11520520
0.105521,072
0.0891,081
0.0791,090
0.061241,214
0.051851,399
0.042201,619
0.03751,694
0.0251,699
0.01481,747

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89520520
0.905521,072
0.9291,081
0.9391,090
0.941241,214
0.951851,399
0.962201,619
0.97751,694
0.9851,699
0.99481,747

Spread0.03Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8655
0.85260265
0.8410276
0.8342318
0.8120338
0.7130368
0.7025393
0.6945438
0.6810448
0.6350498
0.6220518
0.47100618

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BilberryYes90
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
newbie147Yes30
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmudYes25.62
Alcaraz2026Yes20
a5533Yes18.41
gghffYes14.33
Trufa-NegraYes10
0xa5ef…2966No80
OnlyLuckNoBrainNo43
0x973No40
GodofGamblers69No20
0xDE0aC3CfF22Dc73AE9C8b9c14540BDe8D36f004E-1768879242500No20
whhiskyNo17
crypt941No10
0x68ae…9df0No8
The-Weather-MenNo6.33
0x67e6dC204dc01833aA811D5Bf581D091A0F12210-1769473429121No5.18
riskaversedegenNo5.06
GoldenRoostNo3.79

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:40:45BUYNo0.786$4.94
13:29:27BUYNo0.81$1.03
13:29:24BUYYes0.216666666790$19.50
13:29:12BUYNo0.81$1.02
13:29:10BUYYes0.184388551623$4.25
12:46:40BUYNo0.81999991881$1.01
12:46:39BUYNo0.8199999735$4.25
12:46:39BUYNo0.8212$9.84
12:38:24BUYNo0.838$6.64
12:33:33BUYYes0.210$2.00
12:33:31BUYYes0.220$4.00