Bilberry
0xbf13934a1fec7d3211fc15c138d84ac2a691b91a
- Realised P&L
- $37.0k
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Markets traded
- 6,853
- Open portfolio
- $25.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,853
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.032Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?
- +$1.2kat 0.183Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?
- +$1.1kat 0.160Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.245Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.245Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0351527734 | $3.16 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.235 | $9.40 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4283261901 | $25.59 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.07 | $6.30 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.1729563531 | $8.92 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.07 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $25.29 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8824659483 | $21.47 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.54 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.7899999982 | $72.20 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.2810981376 | $144.61 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.4347960373 | $59.69 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.98 | $24.97 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.82 |