PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bilberry

0xbf13934a1fec7d3211fc15c138d84ac2a691b91a

Realised P&L
$37.0k
Volume
$1.52M
Markets traded
6,853
Open portfolio
$25.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,853
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26? · Yes0.2960.995$1.2k+$838.59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26? · Yes0.2160.990$676.08+$528.46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26? · Yes0.4420.620$537.16+$154.16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 27? · No0.4410.570$509.75+$115.51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 27? · No0.5060.625$496.33+$94.08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28? · No0.6240.720$480.67+$64.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 26? · No0.7520.815$469.18+$36.22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 27? · Yes0.2910.395$455.05+$120.03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 27? · Yes0.4290.535$430.28+$85.31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28? · No0.7390.760$388.74+$10.61
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? · Yes0.3150.625$383.40+$190.09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 27? · No0.7580.730$377.82−$14.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 26? · No0.5920.996$374.86+$151.94
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26? · No0.7620.830$360.51+$29.58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 26? · Yes0.3980.465$357.83+$51.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.0351527734$3.16
09-26 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.4$2.00
09-26 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.235$9.40
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 27?BUY0.4283261901$25.59
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.07$6.30
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26?BUY0.1729563531$8.92
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.7$15.07
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.8799999986$25.29
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.8824659483$21.47
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.759999998$30.54
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?BUY0.7899999982$72.20
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.2810981376$144.61
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.4347960373$59.69
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?SELL0.98$24.97
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?SELL0.73$1.82