whhisky
0xcef6c12ad7036a2cf4e5f5a845fdc9d58a3f2ade
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $269.6k
- Markets traded
- 14,957
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,957
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.78at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?
- +$215.29at 0.407Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?
- +$161.24at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?
- +$108.09at 0.357Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?
- +$100.52at 0.245Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $3.40 |
| 09-18 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-18 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.72 |
| 09-18 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.44 |
| 09-18 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.54 |
| 09-18 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.08 |
| 09-18 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-18 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-18 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.74 |
| 09-18 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-18 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 09-18 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |