PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

riskaversedegen

0xac1fea161a2c092cb197d68a2d56757166d5cf6a

Realised P&L
$-183.30
Volume
$46.5k
Markets traded
3,019
Open portfolio
$267.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,019
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12? · Yes0.2101.000$5.23+$4.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12? · No0.8601.000$5.05+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12? · No0.7001.000$5.00+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 12? · No0.7901.000$5.00+$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12? · No0.6901.000$5.00+$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12? · Yes0.4701.000$5.00+$2.65
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12? · No0.6401.000$5.00+$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12? · No0.7701.000$5.00+$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12? · No0.8501.000$5.00+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 12? · No0.7101.000$5.00+$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 12? · No0.8621.000$5.00+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12? · Yes0.3001.000$5.00+$3.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12? · Yes0.2201.000$5.00+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12? · Yes0.2900.999$4.99+$3.54
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 12? · No0.7200.991$4.95+$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 10:05Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11?BUY0.08$1.21
10-07 23:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.0093483895$1.01
10-07 22:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.0100395311$1.01
10-07 22:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.0083051302$1.01
09-30 21:38Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 30?BUY0.004$2.01
09-30 21:38Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 30?BUY0.012793981$1.07
09-30 11:44Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 30?BUY0.004$2.01
09-29 18:29Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29?BUY0.005$1.01
09-29 18:27Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29?BUY0.0040483234$1.01
09-29 18:26Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 29?BUY0.003$2.01
09-27 15:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 27?BUY0.0194494078$1.23
09-25 11:52Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?BUY0.068614514$1.04
09-24 11:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 24?BUY0.028899082$1.05
09-24 10:40Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.06$1.26
09-24 10:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 24?BUY0.004$1.01
Trader riskaversedegen · PolyBot Pro