riskaversedegen
0xac1fea161a2c092cb197d68a2d56757166d5cf6a
- Realised P&L
- $-183.30
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,019
- Open portfolio
- $267.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.81at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?
- +$36.17at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 10?
- +$32.49at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 12?
- +$24.12at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?
- +$24.12at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.21 |
| 10-07 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.0093483895 | $1.01 |
| 10-07 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.0100395311 | $1.01 |
| 10-07 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.0083051302 | $1.01 |
| 09-30 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.01 |
| 09-30 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.012793981 | $1.07 |
| 09-30 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.01 |
| 09-29 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.01 |
| 09-29 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.0040483234 | $1.01 |
| 09-29 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.01 |
| 09-27 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.0194494078 | $1.23 |
| 09-25 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.068614514 | $1.04 |
| 09-24 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.028899082 | $1.05 |
| 09-24 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.26 |
| 09-24 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.01 |