PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe9e8ec08c9f942d8f2dc169f9620c17cf08c02cc

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$183.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? · Yes0.1651.000$30.64+$25.59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2? · Yes0.2350.310$6.91+$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3? · Yes0.0600.070$5.60+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2? · Yes0.1550.325$4.50+$2.35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 2? · No0.4700.405$4.39−$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 3? · Yes0.4100.325$4.08−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 3? · No0.8200.815$4.07−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? · Yes0.0800.080$3.74+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2? · No0.4890.400$3.53−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 2? · Yes0.1690.070$3.52−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1? · Yes0.5850.996$3.47+$1.43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3? · Yes0.3400.345$3.17+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3? · No0.5400.545$3.09+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 2? · No0.7700.960$2.56+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2? · Yes0.2540.300$2.47+$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 3?BUY0.16$1.09
11-02 01:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 3?BUY0.16$1.07
11-02 01:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?BUY0.2399999631$1.04
11-02 00:57Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 3?BUY0.1299999905$1.09
11-02 00:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.389999947$1.03
11-02 00:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.389999947$1.03
11-02 00:32Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3?BUY0.5899998496$1.02
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2?BUY0.24$0.15
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.08$0.29
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.08$1.15
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.08$1.15
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.08$1.15
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3?BUY0.06$1.20
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3?BUY0.06$1.20
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3?BUY0.06$1.20