0xe9e8ec08c9f942d8f2dc169f9620c17cf08c02cc
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $183.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.90at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 2?
- +$1.99at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?
- +$0.79at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?
- +$0.63at 0.463Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?
- +$0.46at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.09 |
| 11-02 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.07 |
| 11-02 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2399999631 | $1.04 |
| 11-02 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.1299999905 | $1.09 |
| 11-02 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.389999947 | $1.03 |
| 11-02 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.389999947 | $1.03 |
| 11-02 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5899998496 | $1.02 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $0.15 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.29 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.15 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.15 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.15 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |