mahmed-abula-ibn-mahmud
0x1ba75514fa9dcd48d5eea3a2ae7c1fb990353d88
- Realised P&L
- $50.58
- Volume
- $270.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,529
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,529
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.07at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?
- +$428.62at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?
- +$228.28at 0.709Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?
- +$208.55at 0.586Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 31?
- +$193.94at 0.716Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 11-02 09:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $56.09 |
| 11-02 09:15 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.2561203672 | $7.53 |
| 11-02 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.993 | $24.82 |
| 11-02 09:04 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $108.78 |
| 11-02 09:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.79875 | $63.90 |
| 11-02 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2884848485 | $9.52 |
| 11-02 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.00 |
| 11-02 08:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.08 |
| 11-02 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 11-02 07:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.7933333333 | $11.90 |
| 11-02 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.68 | $63.24 |
| 11-02 06:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.795 | $7.95 |
| 11-02 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 11-02 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $64.35 |