mahmed-abula-ibn-mahmud
0x1ba75514fa9dcd48d5eea3a2ae7c1fb990353d88
- Realised P&L
- $372.54
- Volume
- $195.6k
- Markets traded
- 953
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded953
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.07at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?
- +$428.62at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?
- +$228.28at 0.709Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?
- +$208.55at 0.586Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 31?
- +$193.94at 0.716Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.92 |
| 09-18 01:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.89 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.34 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.62 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5780860702 | $5.10 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.51 | $14.28 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $14.50 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $14.40 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5286099865 | $3.92 |
| 09-18 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 09-18 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.7742612123 | $218.04 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7983333333 | $23.95 |
| 09-17 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.98 |