0x68aef4fde707dd6ca9fbab747f17c7a32f919df0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.62
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,262
- Open portfolio
- $214.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,262
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.91at 0.427Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$10.37at 0.445Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?
- +$7.83at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?
- +$6.24at 0.346Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?
- +$6.23at 0.377Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 09-19 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 09-19 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 09-19 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 09-18 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 09-18 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 09-18 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.797775 | $6.38 |
| 09-18 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 09-18 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 09-18 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 09-18 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.79375 | $6.35 |
| 09-18 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 09-18 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $0.38 |
| 09-18 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 09-18 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.78 | $6.24 |