0x68aef4fde707dd6ca9fbab747f17c7a32f919df0
- Realised P&L
- $75.93
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,952
- Open portfolio
- $108.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,952
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.06at 0.420Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$10.62at 0.433Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?
- +$7.90at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?
- +$6.35at 0.335Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?
- +$6.30at 0.370Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 08-04 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 08-04 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-04 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.87125 | $6.97 |
| 08-04 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 08-04 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75625 | $6.05 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.813425 | $6.51 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |