PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDE0aC3CfF22Dc73AE9C8b9c14540BDe8D36f004E-1768879242500

0xde0ac3cff22dc73ae9c8b9c14540bde8d36f004e

Realised P&L
$-780.97
Volume
$191.0k
Markets traded
3,035
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,035
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3? · No0.6980.820$37.09+$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 3? · No0.7050.905$36.20+$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2? · No0.7650.836$33.13+$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 3? · No0.7440.720$31.92−$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 2? · No0.8000.795$31.80−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 3? · No0.7850.795$31.80+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3? · No0.7000.770$30.80+$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 3? · No0.7350.730$29.20−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3? · No0.6940.655$28.80−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3? · No0.6650.680$27.20+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3? · No0.7150.680$27.20−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 2? · No0.7050.630$25.20−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 3? · No0.7400.585$23.40−$6.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? · No0.7950.580$23.20−$8.60
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3? · No0.7400.545$21.79−$7.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 12:15Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 12:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 12:15Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.999$24.77
11-02 12:15Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2?SELL0.999$39.95
11-02 09:15Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 2?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 09:15Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 06:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 2?SELL0.999$39.96
11-02 06:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.999$39.96
11-02 06:15Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 2?SELL0.999$44.95
11-02 06:15Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 2?SELL0.999$59.94
11-02 03:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 00:15Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 00:15Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?SELL0.999$39.96
11-01 21:15Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?SELL0.999$63.58
11-01 18:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 1?SELL0.999$18.73