PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KORD&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T09:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.06 to 0.26. 35 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08135135
0.0910146
0.1026172
0.1220192
0.135197
0.14128325
0.1530355
0.1760415
0.185420
0.2010430
0.2281510
0.295515

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.051010
0.043747
0.0374121
0.02655776
0.019231,698

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.951010
0.963747
0.9774121
0.98655776
0.999231,698

Spread0.03Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.92135135
0.9110146
0.9026172
0.8820192
0.875197
0.86128325
0.8530355
0.8360415
0.825420
0.8010430
0.7881510
0.715515

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
241532532432Yes300
Certified-LoserYes249.22
kerbrervYes247.27
mashuuuuYes240.54
crabraveYes82.15
hfvYes72.29
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
mustbethewaterYes45.47
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes40.5
newbie147Yes40
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes37.7
LornaPredictsYes30.5
HWRebornYes24.92
arehovbrowYes23.8
weather12345Yes23.7
fregdf12fYes20.91
ChairmanFedYes20.27
yrnmvYes20
rocky42004Yes18.58
a5533Yes13.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:11:25BUYNo0.9515$14.22
00:11:25BUYNo0.9530$28.50
21:12:27BUYNo0.917353466624$22.08
21:12:27BUYNo0.925$4.60
21:12:27BUYNo0.903333333330$27.10
21:12:27BUYNo0.9137$34.02
21:06:46BUYYes0.11$0.10
21:06:46BUYYes0.158$5.80
21:06:45BUYYes0.1240$24.00
21:02:04BUYNo0.912$1.82
19:41:27BUYNo0.912$1.82
19:15:10BUYYes0.111$1.05
18:11:55BUYNo0.939$8.44
18:11:55BUYNo0.935$4.82
18:11:54BUYNo0.935$4.65
18:11:54BUYNo0.933$2.76
17:23:51BUYYes0.1199746901249$29.90
17:23:49BUYYes0.122971786123$2.81
14:03:09BUYYes0.13333333338$1.00
12:59:49BUYYes0.147532892320$2.99
09:12:07BUYYes0.158$1.17
08:56:04BUYYes0.142040968721$3.00
08:56:04BUYYes0.1325$3.25
08:42:00BUYYes0.1316$2.08
08:41:03BUYYes0.1327$3.53