PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HWReborn

0xecfffc9a5561ca7588740d47d7da43ea473b5645

Realised P&L
$-568.29
Volume
$51.6k
Markets traded
621
Open portfolio
$962.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded621
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 18? · Yes0.0900.523$47.64+$39.45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 18? · No0.8201.000$23.99+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 18? · No0.4500.670$22.38+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 18? · No0.7900.875$20.13+$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 18? · No0.8040.740$18.48−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 18? · No0.8900.998$15.97+$1.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 18? · No0.8400.845$15.63+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18? · No0.8300.976$15.61+$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 18? · No0.4200.440$15.18+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 18? · No0.6540.740$14.25+$1.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 18? · No0.5501.000$13.39+$6.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18? · Yes0.2900.575$13.22+$6.55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 18? · No0.7500.665$13.14−$1.68
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18? · Yes0.2200.215$12.36−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19? · Yes0.1180.250$11.99+$6.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?BUY0.1166386555$3.47
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?BUY0.6299999963$6.89
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.1361956433$1.79
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 19?BUY0.8499999951$8.66
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?BUY0.0585199521$2.54
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 19?BUY0.2421085859$7.67
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?BUY0.3699999911$5.42
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?BUY0.3167545639$4.88
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 19?BUY0.1$2.15
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.5899999861$5.95
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?BUY0.5399999759$8.53
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?BUY0.098564353$1.81
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?BUY0.0869565217$2.80
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?BUY0.4799999795$7.51
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?BUY0.08$3.04