HWReborn
0xecfffc9a5561ca7588740d47d7da43ea473b5645
- Realised P&L
- $-568.29
- Volume
- $51.6k
- Markets traded
- 621
- Open portfolio
- $962.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded621
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$836.59at 0.148Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?
- +$303.27at 0.525Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?
- +$165.52at 0.593Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 6?
- +$157.32at 0.548Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?
- +$154.13at 0.631Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.1166386555 | $3.47 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.6299999963 | $6.89 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.1361956433 | $1.79 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.8499999951 | $8.66 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.0585199521 | $2.54 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2421085859 | $7.67 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3699999911 | $5.42 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3167545639 | $4.88 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.15 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.5899999861 | $5.95 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.5399999759 | $8.53 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.098564353 | $1.81 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.0869565217 | $2.80 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4799999795 | $7.51 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.04 |