PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

weather12345

0x8ed6ae93fd7c966cf001bb0586417fbcc09487d4

Realised P&L
$-44.76
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$192.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 02:42Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 2?BUY0.06$1.29
10-01 02:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.19$1.14
10-01 02:23Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.43$2.15
09-30 20:36Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.07$1.12
09-30 20:17Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.34$2.72
09-30 20:05Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.034$1.36
09-30 16:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 2?BUY0.07$1.05
09-30 15:48Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?BUY0.43$3.01
09-30 08:54Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.04$1.07
09-30 08:29Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 30?BUY0.05$1.05
09-30 04:04Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.092$2.53
09-29 17:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.13$1.69
09-29 16:43Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 30?BUY0.04$1.05
09-29 16:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.18$1.53
09-29 16:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.037$1.11