weather12345
0x8ed6ae93fd7c966cf001bb0586417fbcc09487d4
- Realised P&L
- $-44.76
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $192.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.17at 0.248Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?
- +$6.93at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?
- +$6.55at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?
- +$5.95at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?
- +$5.13at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.29 |
| 10-01 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 10-01 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-30 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.12 |
| 09-30 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 09-30 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.36 |
| 09-30 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-30 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.01 |
| 09-30 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.07 |
| 09-30 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 09-30 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1? | BUY | 0.092 | $2.53 |
| 09-29 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.69 |
| 09-29 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.05 |
| 09-29 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.53 |
| 09-29 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.11 |