PolyBot

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Traders

crabrave

0xf15b5046ebec60613bf8d94535823ec53c878c10

Realised P&L
$46.22
Volume
$220.2k
Markets traded
7,763
Open portfolio
$451.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,763
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1? · Yes0.3271.000$32.08+$21.60
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1? · No0.4701.000$25.51+$13.51
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1? · Yes0.4180.994$24.94+$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2? · Yes0.1720.310$20.84+$9.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1? · Yes0.6201.000$19.34+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1? · No0.7561.000$15.85+$3.86
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1? · No0.8001.000$14.99+$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2? · No0.7090.860$14.55+$2.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? · Yes0.4700.999$12.75+$6.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1? · No0.4800.997$12.46+$6.46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? · No0.6940.660$11.40−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1? · No0.5701.000$10.51+$4.52
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.4900.989$9.88+$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 1? · No0.7001.000$8.57+$2.57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on November 2? · Yes0.2000.285$8.55+$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:31Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.765$6.00
11-02 00:06Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 3?BUY0.71$6.00
11-01 23:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 2?BUY0.29$6.00
11-01 21:06Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 3?BUY0.73$5.99
11-01 21:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 2?BUY0.81$5.99
11-01 21:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.73$5.99
11-01 21:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2?BUY0.22$6.00
11-01 20:06Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3?BUY0.37$6.00
11-01 20:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 2?BUY0.62$3.25
11-01 20:01Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.55$6.00
11-01 17:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.23$6.00
11-01 17:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2?BUY0.87$5.99
11-01 16:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2?BUY0.14$5.60
11-01 15:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.3$6.00
11-01 14:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2?BUY0.79$6.00