PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on November 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=FACT&format=raw&date=2026-11-05T01:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.27 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.07 to 0.34. 9 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.071515
0.084560
0.09195255
0.1211266
0.155271
0.1610281
0.185286
0.215291
0.245296
0.275301
0.2910311
0.3014325

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061717
0.046380
0.03308388
0.02475862
0.011,0001,862

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941717
0.966380
0.97308388
0.98475862
0.991,0001,862

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.931515
0.924560
0.91195255
0.8811266
0.855271
0.8410281
0.825286
0.795291
0.765296
0.735301
0.7110311
0.7014325

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes246.22
hfvYes217.39
newbie147Yes30
a5533Yes19.99
M.PeanutYes17
samalitopshenYes11.4
antoniosporanoYes1.11
0xa5ef…2966No247.39
hello.67No98
sergigreyNo45
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408No21
old2017No20.47
twobonclayNo20.31
jzy0546No20.3
BilberryNo10.89
TakeYourTemperatureNo10.35
whhiskyNo10
chirenbuyuNo9.8
HODLStrongNo6.4
Hugin-og-MuninNo6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:14:01BUYNo0.92999999920$19.04
12:12:40BUYNo0.929999998520$18.88
12:11:31BUYNo0.9321$19.53
12:11:28BUYNo0.9345$41.85
12:11:27BUYNo0.934$3.72
12:11:27BUYNo0.935$4.65
12:11:27BUYNo0.92999999071$1.00
12:11:27BUYNo0.9211$10.02
12:11:27BUYNo0.929999996110$9.63
12:11:25BUYNo0.9310$9.11
12:11:25BUYNo0.9398$91.14
12:11:25BUYNo0.925520088220$18.80
10:05:51BUYNo0.91999996391$1.02
10:05:49BUYNo0.910$9.00
10:04:09SELLNo0.825$4.10
10:04:06BUYNo0.935$4.65
10:04:04BUYNo0.936$5.58
10:04:04BUYNo0.936$5.58
09:17:51BUYNo0.86999999386$5.57