old2017
0x50c81a11e4325ecb5dedf7d34dd40e285db5f649
- Realised P&L
- $-644.54
- Volume
- $86.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,991
- Open portfolio
- $650.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,991
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.31at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$67.63at 0.657O/U 1.5 Rounds
- +$61.94at 0.235Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$58.31at 0.263Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
- +$51.53at 0.952Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.17 |
| 10-12 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9199999689 | $22.49 |
| 10-12 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8244118469 | $29.51 |
| 10-12 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.93 | $22.32 |
| 10-12 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.93 | $22.32 |
| 10-12 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 10-12 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9363301123 | $27.29 |
| 10-12 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-12 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-12 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 10-12 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $49.82 |
| 10-12 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $22.56 |
| 10-12 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $22.56 |
| 10-12 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.93 | $22.32 |
| 10-12 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.7799999867 | $11.72 |