sergigrey
0xb49ec8dc100689ad5ccc27f804b48149923526fe
- Realised P&L
- $-24.72
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $715.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No | 0.533 | 0.445 | $250.65 | −$49.35 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No | 0.728 | 0.815 | $223.77 | +$23.77 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $150.86 | +$0.86 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.925 | $66.03 | +$3.93 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.170 | $16.44 | −$8.56 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $7.51 | −$2.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.12at 0.985Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $150.00 |
| 08-26 10:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9847561872 | $460.00 |
| 08-26 10:29 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.5326061827 | $300.00 |
| 08-26 10:25 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7284338664 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 10:01 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2584492971 | $25.00 |
| 08-26 09:56 | Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0079912097 | $10.00 |