antoniosporano
0xcd154f053a291f46e550d5fbcd4cfa7ddbc4b352
- Realised P&L
- $12.4k
- Volume
- $3.36M
- Markets traded
- 33,808
- Open portfolio
- $51.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded33,808
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$523.31at 0.003Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 28?
- +$280.83at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20?
- +$138.98at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?
- +$124.28at 0.020Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C on September 3?
- +$123.49at 0.007Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 09:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 26? | SELL | 0.5557842248 | $6.13 |
| 05-03 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 05-03 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on May 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 05-03 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.55 |
| 05-03 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.22 |
| 05-03 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 3? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.62 |
| 05-03 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 05-03 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.35 |
| 05-03 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 05-03 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 3? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.45 |
| 05-03 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 05-03 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 3? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.27 |
| 05-03 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 3? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 05-03 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on May 3? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.70 |
| 05-03 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 3? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.42 |