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Traders

chirenbuyu

0x53a7ae59c9c213757d4f78f954604c95268c089a

Realised P&L
$-24.23
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$27.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month? · No0.8310.690$8.53−$1.74
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month? · No0.8500.770$7.70−$0.80
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month? · No0.7300.645$6.45−$0.85
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month? · No0.5000.450$5.31−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:37Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month?BUY0.73$3.65
10-07 17:02Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on October 7?BUY0.999$11.91
10-07 14:46Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?BUY0.8399998695$3.09
10-07 14:17Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?BUY0.8499999864$3.13
10-07 14:15Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on October 7?BUY0.999$1.98
10-07 14:14Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 7?BUY0.999$1.98
10-07 14:12Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on October 7?BUY0.999$1.98
10-07 14:07Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?BUY0.5199999406$1.75
10-07 13:56Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?BUY0.509999933$1.75
09-21 23:47Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?SELL0.003$0.27
09-20 18:39Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.8599999107$5.01
09-20 18:27Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 21?SELL0.44$7.34
09-20 18:27Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 21?SELL0.37$10.89
09-20 15:26Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.0559999998$5.01
09-20 05:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.7799999907$5.01