PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=FACT&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T01:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.11. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.06 to 0.20. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.139292
0.14147239
0.1584323
0.1810333
0.2020353
0.2730383
0.3020403
0.3120423
0.329432
0.4512444
0.506450
0.526456

Spread0.04Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.095252
0.082577
0.0791168
0.0624192
0.056198
0.0467266
0.03306572
0.024321,004
0.0110,04211,046

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.915252
0.922577
0.9391168
0.9424192
0.956198
0.9667266
0.97306572
0.984321,004
0.9910,04211,046

Spread0.04Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.879292
0.86147239
0.8584323
0.8210333
0.8020353
0.7330383
0.7020403
0.6920423
0.689432
0.5512444
0.506450
0.486456

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes337.94
habash2Yes250.97
hfvYes94.31
241532532432Yes82.73
fregdf12fYes80
WrongBy1DegreeYes69.55
wgomezlYes65
mustermannmaxYes60.73
rubby-always-winsYes58.91
mar1337Yes55
newbie147Yes50
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
pmb-supYes48.48
IstarothYes48
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes34.94
KowalskiyYes33.42
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658Yes30.46
weather12345Yes26.5
0x2dC89DF283eee5F3A694062fa82691F6c39D9c23-1775590736059Yes25.45
trade1112026Yes25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:05:00BUYYes0.1311$1.42
22:42:52BUYYes0.1255$6.60
20:11:36BUYNo0.862$1.29
20:11:33BUYNo0.8622$18.92
20:11:31BUYNo0.859999998312$10.00
20:11:30BUYNo0.855$4.25
20:11:30BUYNo0.84999999156$5.00
20:11:28BUYNo0.85999996591$1.01
20:11:28BUYNo0.85999996562$2.00
20:11:28BUYNo0.8599999141$1.00
20:11:28BUYNo0.847743206438$32.23
20:11:28BUYNo0.859999995317$14.65
20:11:28BUYNo0.85999999841$35.20
20:11:28BUYNo0.856$4.73
19:38:25BUYNo0.83999994351$1.19
19:37:27BUYYes0.1610$1.60
19:37:07BUYYes0.1610$1.60
18:21:15BUYYes0.14999999257$1.00
18:01:42BUYNo0.8599999141$1.00
16:52:33SELLYes0.1321$2.75
16:11:27BUYNo0.826876102345$37.51
16:11:27BUYYes0.1734$5.78
16:11:25BUYNo0.8259$48.38
16:11:25BUYNo0.829$7.23
16:11:25BUYNo0.82841440643$35.42