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Traders

Istaroth

0x9efda3d6354152901fc4706c3b1a9ce50b45ad00

Realised P&L
$-721.8k
Volume
$30.98M
Markets traded
402
Open portfolio
$120.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded402
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? · No0.4400.410$20.50−$1.50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? · No0.8100.790$15.80−$0.40
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more? · No0.8950.747$14.93−$2.97
Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7900.775$14.87−$0.29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7100.700$14.00−$0.20
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? · Yes0.4100.380$7.60−$0.60
Will Buffalo Bills advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.4300.360$6.90−$1.34
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.2100.200$6.00−$0.30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.9100.905$3.98−$0.02
Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.6300.525$3.94−$0.79
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000? · No0.6200.615$3.08−$0.03
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000? · Yes0.3900.385$1.93−$0.03
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania? · Yes0.3590.357$1.43−$0.01
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? · Yes0.7380.735$1.33−$0.01
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? · No0.5060.465$1.18−$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 08:09Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.806$16.12
10-14 08:07Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?SELL0.37$2.58
10-14 08:06Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.806$16.12
10-14 08:05Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.995$49.95
10-14 08:02Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?SELL0.06$1.20
10-14 07:59Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?SELL0.2$6.00
10-14 07:58Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.94$6.79
10-14 07:57Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.26$2.36
10-14 07:51Will George Kittle have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.12$1.69
10-14 07:45Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?BUY0.7378172895$45.60
10-14 07:44Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 60% to 61%?SELL0.07$1.40
10-14 07:44Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?SELL0.25$3.58
10-14 07:42Will Jaylen Waddle have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.0849999976$1.61
10-14 07:36Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.62$12.40
10-14 07:26Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?BUY0.72$10.89
Trader Istaroth · PolyBot Pro