pmb-sup
0x931e82e984b044fed03c60b0eeb289094d25314b
- Realised P&L
- $-388.99
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $5.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.59at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23?
- +$66.49at 0.396Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 19?
- +$62.65at 0.426Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?
- +$58.79at 0.676Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$55.15at 0.690Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5324170173 | $22.78 |
| 11-01 11:42 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | SELL | 0.999 | $5.86 |
| 11-01 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1513366337 | $7.34 |
| 11-01 09:09 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.5 | $1.71 |
| 11-01 08:38 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.5799997877 | $1.53 |
| 11-01 08:04 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.5099999936 | $20.56 |
| 11-01 07:27 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.6099997426 | $1.09 |
| 11-01 07:21 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.6699998753 | $1.29 |
| 11-01 07:19 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.669999954 | $3.06 |
| 11-01 07:19 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.6599998985 | $1.43 |
| 11-01 07:15 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.5699999386 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 07:09 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.6199999081 | $1.62 |
| 11-01 05:06 | Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat | BUY | 0.3499999495 | $1.04 |
| 10-31 17:18 | England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | SELL | 0.999 | $11.27 |
| 10-31 11:49 | England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.5 | $5.64 |