Kowalskiy
0x9be5b190a4f452138a1f804813fe81293c7f6c75
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $189.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,885
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,885
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.66at 0.358US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$226.74at 0.491Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$167.46at 0.723Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$133.85at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5?
- +$122.18at 0.315Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 11-01 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.53 | $23.85 |
| 11-01 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.50 |
| 11-01 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.63 | $8.19 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4689999748 | $1.88 |
| 11-01 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.5599998035 | $1.14 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.57 | $13.11 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.53 | $29.15 |
| 11-01 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.54 | $31.86 |
| 11-01 15:07 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.52 |
| 11-01 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 11-01 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 11-01 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.71 | $11.36 |
| 11-01 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.67 | $16.75 |