PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KAUS&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T09:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.46. up 0.21 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.25 to 0.46. 28 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.461515
0.47460476
0.488371,313
0.4950,00051,313
0.521751,330
0.531251,341
0.54751,348
0.553051,378
0.56751,385
0.575051,435
0.587751,512
0.598051,592

Spread0.01Mid0.46

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4544
0.44711
0.43207219
0.4228247
0.408255
0.398263
0.3640303
0.33106409
0.2720429
0.2619448
0.2530478
0.2421499

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5544
0.56711
0.57207219
0.5828247
0.608255
0.618263
0.6440303
0.67106409
0.7320429
0.7419448
0.7530478
0.7621499

Spread0.01Mid0.55

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.541515
0.53460476
0.528371,313
0.5150,00051,313
0.481751,330
0.471251,341
0.46751,348
0.453051,378
0.44751,385
0.435051,435
0.427751,512
0.418051,592

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hfvYes713.92
IstarothYes408.26
cortexhyperYes226.42
kerbrervYes125.67
0x973Yes74.27
TakeYourTemperatureYes74.13
arsenal85Yes68.82
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
0x6288…fd46Yes43.24
meteomathYes40
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes33.56
gaaaydogggggYes31.77
ThermomenalYes30.72
newbie147Yes30
0xe31337C11692EC04e72c52D43C1758AadAB432bYes28.62
mashuuuuYes26.83
PoligarchYes21.1
brightKongYes20
0x86b6…a127Yes16.75
jaboobeliteYes16.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:42:25BUYNo0.5540$22.00
09:21:07BUYNo0.549999989715$7.99
09:10:54BUYYes0.449999994243$19.46
09:10:52BUYYes0.4517$7.54
09:10:51BUYYes0.4540$18.00
08:35:46BUYNo0.54999996185$2.88
08:12:28BUYNo0.582$1.16
08:11:06BUYNo0.549999990316$8.54
08:11:06BUYNo0.55999996429$5.00
08:11:06BUYNo0.549042482198$53.90
08:11:06BUYNo0.539999979211$5.72
08:05:27SELLNo0.4920$9.79
08:04:25SELLYes0.460$0.05
08:04:18BUYYes0.465$2.30
08:04:18BUYYes0.54$2.00
08:04:18BUYYes0.4413$5.53
08:04:18BUYYes0.445$2.27
08:04:16BUYYes0.449999987829$12.88
08:04:16BUYYes0.44999990433$1.41
08:04:16BUYYes0.44999992743$1.55
08:04:16BUYYes0.43508165545$2.30
08:04:16BUYYes0.43999999386$2.82
08:04:16BUYYes0.43999985922$1.00
08:04:15BUYYes0.42999984332$1.07
08:04:15BUYYes0.42999988822$1.00