PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x86b64c3b8bf836f10393b5d4af990a2b6843a127

Realised P&L
$-526.27
Volume
$52.8k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$773.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1880.171$114.27$11.65
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · No0.5500.925$33.18+$13.45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7820.766$29.13$0.60
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.2000.190$28.50$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 16? · No0.3800.375$28.50$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17? · No0.7530.650$25.60$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 16? · No0.7600.855$23.43+$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16? · No0.8300.905$21.63+$1.79
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 17? · No0.8900.920$20.57+$0.67
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026? · No0.9180.920$19.95+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 16? · No0.5300.505$18.64$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 16? · No0.8650.810$18.62$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 15? · Yes0.8001.000$12.03+$2.40
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 16? · No0.8200.930$11.24+$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 17? · No0.8500.955$11.16+$1.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.01$9.35
09-16 03:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.0363887028$9.37
09-16 03:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.01$9.35
09-16 03:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.01$9.35
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 16?SELL0.903$19.68
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.8299999874$9.92
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 16?BUY0.097$5.74
09-16 03:11Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 17?BUY0.7899999856$9.90
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.16$9.59
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.5599999908$9.78
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17?SELL0.43$3.61
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.8899999928$9.95
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?BUY0.9299999963$9.97
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.38$9.69
09-16 03:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.38$9.50