0x86b64c3b8bf836f10393b5d4af990a2b6843a127
0x86b64c3b8bf836f10393b5d4af990a2b6843a127
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $393.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,625
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,625
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$380.83at 0.310Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
- +$337.26at 0.619Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$320.08at 0.120Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?
- +$236.07at 0.078Venados FC vs. Alacranes de Durango: O/U 3.5
- +$223.12at 0.082Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:18 | Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 20:34 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 19:02 | Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.18 | $25.74 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $8.16 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6635729598 | $46.43 |
| 11-01 18:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.7 | $114.92 |
| 11-01 18:01 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $39.55 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.69 |
| 11-01 17:17 | NK Celje vs. Nafta 1903 Lendava: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $86.44 |
| 11-01 17:05 | NK Celje vs. Nafta 1903 Lendava: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.35 | $33.16 |
| 11-01 17:02 | NK Celje vs. Nafta 1903 Lendava: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4099999981 | $38.85 |
| 11-01 17:02 | NK Celje vs. Nafta 1903 Lendava: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4499999965 | $38.94 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $8.16 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.89 | $62.53 |
| 11-01 14:36 | Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5599999949 | $39.35 |