0x6288e13f5e8fae226c281e6018c8c40872c6fd46
0x6288e13f5e8fae226c281e6018c8c40872c6fd46
- Realised P&L
- $-414.08
- Volume
- $147.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,250
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,250
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.33at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?
- +$127.46at 0.136Spread: United States (-1.5)
- +$100.25at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?
- +$96.30at 0.111Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$53.36at 0.207Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.97 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.35 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.18 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3799999937 | $19.42 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2393785583 | $19.26 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.7889585647 | $19.80 |
| 10-01 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $15.55 |
| 10-01 05:06 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.8439999935 | $19.84 |
| 10-01 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.12 |
| 10-01 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.86 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.7599999969 | $19.77 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.44 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.53 | $19.26 |