PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe31337C11692EC04e72c52D43C1758AadAB432b

0x5bcfd34e00df94ac97b5c51b408a436df3380aa2

Realised P&L
$-49.45
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
2,507
Open portfolio
$148.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,507
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3? · Yes0.4270.485$14.76+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2? · Yes0.4500.790$14.26+$6.14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 2? · Yes0.4640.555$13.45+$2.21
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 3? · Yes0.4000.350$13.13−$1.88
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? · Yes0.4900.555$13.09+$1.53
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 3? · Yes0.4500.455$13.02+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2? · Yes0.5100.925$12.03+$5.39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? · Yes0.4120.485$11.35+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 3? · Yes0.4990.500$11.22+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2? · Yes0.5400.505$10.10−$0.70
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2? · Yes0.4430.255$9.01−$6.65
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3? · Yes0.4800.270$8.44−$6.56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3? · Yes0.6100.645$5.08+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2? · Yes0.5300.001$0.01−$11.34
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 23? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00−$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 09:36Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3?BUY0.42$11.57
11-02 09:03Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2?BUY0.45$0.32
11-02 08:04Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 3?BUY0.4499999878$12.88
11-02 07:36Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3?BUY0.5$1.45
11-02 07:36Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 3?BUY0.4$15.00
11-02 05:36Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 3?BUY0.5199999832$8.69
11-02 04:37Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 3?BUY0.44$2.52
11-02 04:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?BUY0.48$15.00
11-02 04:04Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3?BUY0.4199999687$2.15
11-02 03:36Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3?BUY0.4$4.86
11-02 02:35Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.49$11.56
11-02 01:36Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3?BUY0.4299999919$2.64
11-02 00:36Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3?BUY0.6099999581$4.80
11-01 20:05Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1?SELL0.36$4.31
11-01 14:33Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.27$5.04