0xe31337C11692EC04e72c52D43C1758AadAB432b
0x5bcfd34e00df94ac97b5c51b408a436df3380aa2
- Realised P&L
- $-49.45
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,507
- Open portfolio
- $148.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,507
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.49at 0.341Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$16.78at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20?
- +$15.36at 0.360Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$13.25at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?
- +$10.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.42 | $11.57 |
| 11-02 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.45 | $0.32 |
| 11-02 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4499999878 | $12.88 |
| 11-02 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.45 |
| 11-02 07:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.5199999832 | $8.69 |
| 11-02 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.52 |
| 11-02 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4199999687 | $2.15 |
| 11-02 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.86 |
| 11-02 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.49 | $11.56 |
| 11-02 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4299999919 | $2.64 |
| 11-02 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.6099999581 | $4.80 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.31 |
| 11-01 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.04 |