Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.13 to 0.24. 34 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	1,043	1,043
0.14	1,768	2,811
0.15	1,930	4,741
0.16	613	5,354
0.17	1,405	6,759
0.18	400	7,159
0.19	240	7,399
0.20	400	7,799
0.33	338	8,137
0.34	2,088	10,225
0.35	395	10,620
0.36	1,756	12,376

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	2,513	2,513
0.11	3,865	6,378
0.10	7,254	13,632
0.09	50	13,682
0.08	201	13,883
0.07	286	14,168
0.06	340	14,508
0.05	400	14,908
0.04	1,450	16,358
0.03	3,871	20,229
0.02	3,541	23,770
0.01	5,096	28,866

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	2,513	2,513
0.89	3,865	6,378
0.90	7,254	13,632
0.91	50	13,682
0.92	201	13,883
0.93	286	14,168
0.94	340	14,508
0.95	400	14,908
0.96	1,450	16,358
0.97	3,871	20,229
0.98	3,541	23,770
0.99	5,096	28,866

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	1,043	1,043
0.86	1,768	2,811
0.85	1,930	4,741
0.84	613	5,354
0.83	1,405	6,759
0.82	400	7,159
0.81	240	7,399
0.80	400	7,799
0.67	338	8,137
0.66	2,088	10,225
0.65	395	10,620
0.64	1,756	12,376

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Tenebrus7	Yes	1,875
buoys	Yes	1,176.52
lufei88888	Yes	1,176.47
SimSalabim	Yes	869.91
Bassmaker	Yes	800
UDK	Yes	620.02
Haradwaith	Yes	457.15
LECKEIER2026	Yes	305.98
rainbowlilies	Yes	250.01
BoB	Yes	204.99
Digital-Boy	Yes	204.92
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	200
POB-T	Yes	114.28
shilei07	Yes	110
0x214642Bd36A4978D8E2b5427C2C95C43990BbB27-1760567181950	Yes	104.24
HE110W0R1D	Yes	100
gcjames	Yes	75
AJSV	Yes	74.2
0xfd9e…5bdc	Yes	60.11
osant	Yes	58.82

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:09:43	BUY	Yes	0.13	23	$3.00
18:27:06	BUY	No	0.88	1,039	$914.36
18:08:12	BUY	No	0.88	30	$26.40
17:08:01	SELL	Yes	0.1249783442	201	$25.10
16:31:29	SELL	Yes	0.13	200	$26.00
13:35:19	SELL	No	0.86	200	$172.00
13:28:24	BUY	Yes	0.14	800	$112.00
12:50:10	SELL	Yes	0.13	210	$27.30
11:35:16	BUY	Yes	0.1431728518	611	$87.46
11:09:30	BUY	Yes	0.13	166	$21.58
10:51:52	SELL	No	0.89	172	$153.41
10:51:33	SELL	Yes	0.13	50	$6.50
10:51:33	SELL	Yes	0.1296832289	592	$76.76
10:51:30	BUY	No	0.8571343872	5,841	$5006.36
10:51:30	BUY	No	0.8699999982	51	$44.00
10:35:57	BUY	No	0.85	300	$255.00
10:32:12	SELL	No	0.84	1	$0.98
10:32:07	BUY	No	0.849999915	1	$1.00
10:28:15	SELL	Yes	0.15	6	$0.94
10:28:04	BUY	Yes	0.16	6	$1.00
09:50:33	BUY	No	0.8499999957	24	$20.00
09:11:07	SELL	Yes	0.15	23	$3.52
08:53:18	BUY	No	0.85	200	$170.00
08:49:19	BUY	No	0.849999983	3	$2.50
08:41:06	SELL	Yes	0.15	205	$30.75