UDK
0x993b364feffc42346e28f242d1ad57446c70deda
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $525.5k
- Markets traded
- 636
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded636
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.56at 0.425Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?
- +$368.25at 0.693Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$318.17at 0.416Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$296.00at 0.260US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
- +$246.52at 0.660Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:15 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.78 | $85.79 |
| 09-16 13:42 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7744305915 | $101.87 |
| 09-16 10:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.07 | $1.54 |
| 09-16 09:42 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.79 | $158.00 |
| 09-15 20:26 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $9.24 |
| 09-15 19:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $36.00 |
| 09-15 19:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 09-15 15:16 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.344 | $10.32 |
| 09-15 05:44 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.062 | $2.48 |
| 09-14 19:35 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.77 | $54.25 |
| 09-14 17:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $144.94 |
| 09-13 20:37 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 09-13 19:19 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $34.39 |
| 09-13 19:14 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $0.29 |