0xfd9e06795c2f2071269317079e58857807815bdc
- Realised P&L
- $-39.42
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $36.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.64at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 27?
- +$15.87at 0.851Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?
- +$12.48at 0.840Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$11.54at 0.881Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?
- +$9.45at 0.797Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999971 | $4.96 |
| 09-16 07:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999973 | $10.82 |
| 09-16 07:24 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $10.76 |
| 09-16 07:23 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 09-16 07:22 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.26 |
| 09-16 04:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $126.00 |
| 09-09 18:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.169593964 | $111.73 |
| 08-27 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.2277800067 | $4.66 |
| 08-27 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.844262499 | $29.53 |
| 08-27 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.7599999937 | $4.82 |
| 08-27 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-27 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.8139998569 | $4.47 |
| 08-27 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.61 |
| 08-26 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.0543196254 | $1.13 |
| 08-26 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.9599998772 | $5.63 |