LECKEIER2026
0x85d4763966277082a249803e7b576cff13e00cf8
- Realised P&L
- $-17.76
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $376.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.195 | $292.88 | −$19.88 |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.130 | $40.56 | +$6.24 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $38.25 | −$1.53 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $4.67 | −$2.60 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:22 | Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.11 | $34.32 |
| 09-16 11:51 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.07 | $7.27 |
| 09-16 11:09 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $21.58 |
| 09-15 07:49 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $86.37 |
| 09-14 11:19 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 11:48 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999994 | $25.93 |