SimSalabim
0xa40d51396185d72e7505402357b929c4f6f3ea7a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $69.36M
- Markets traded
- 1,452
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,452
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.045Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$5.3kat 0.006Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$3.3kat 0.120Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.9kat 0.018Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.6kat 0.020Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:36 | Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.6161737923 | $39.92 |
| 10-14 21:31 | Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 10-14 21:31 | Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $103.35 |
| 10-14 20:39 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.011 | $24.58 |
| 10-14 20:35 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $55.68 |
| 10-14 20:32 | Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.005 | $41.25 |
| 10-11 18:25 | Will SC Freiburg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.22 | $85.79 |
| 10-11 18:23 | Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.4864958388 | $166.60 |
| 10-11 18:23 | Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.52 | $144.13 |
| 10-10 06:32 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | SELL | 0.06 | $7.73 |
| 10-10 06:31 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | SELL | 0.06 | $238.59 |
| 09-30 22:13 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $74.16 |
| 09-28 10:15 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.027 | $4.61 |
| 09-28 10:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.02 |
| 09-23 18:13 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.29 | $0.54 |