PolyBot

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Traders

lufei88888

0xa92729a8d9a672f5e734a413ce92bba42abf4847

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$116.4k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.675$675.00+$475.00
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3000.976$650.33+$450.33
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.2840.966$339.46+$239.46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3220.521$323.81+$123.81
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3550.575$323.56+$123.56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2720.384$281.74+$81.74
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3380.415$245.91+$45.91
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3390.368$217.40+$17.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.225$187.32−$12.68
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.205$186.36−$13.64
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1400.125$178.57−$21.43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2200.195$177.27−$22.73
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2920.218$149.81−$50.19
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.115$127.78−$72.22
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7700.962$124.94+$24.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:40Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999999$200.00
09-16 02:40Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.3015259567$200.00
09-07 06:19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2402364311$200.00
09-07 06:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1499999994$200.00
09-07 06:18LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.2299999992$200.00
09-07 06:17Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2308845569$200.00
08-15 05:10Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2215266066$200.00
08-15 05:09Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.1399999995$200.00
08-15 05:08Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.3389999992$200.00
08-15 05:08US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3099999991$200.00
08-15 05:07Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?BUY0.2935403501$200.00
08-15 05:07Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2999999992$200.00
08-15 05:06Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DBUY0.2899999991$200.00
08-15 05:06LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.2899999991$200.00
08-15 05:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999994$200.00