Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.48. up 0.17 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.32 to 0.64. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	120	120
0.51	767	887
0.52	60	947
0.54	60	1,007
0.67	50	1,057
0.75	8	1,065
0.77	434	1,499
0.78	495	1,994
0.80	500	2,494
0.84	781	3,275
0.86	355	3,630
0.87	7,800	11,430

Spread0.02Mid0.49

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	462	462
0.47	551	1,013
0.46	399	1,412
0.45	10	1,422
0.43	5	1,427
0.42	175	1,602
0.41	60	1,662
0.39	72	1,734
0.33	1,454	3,188
0.32	212	3,400
0.30	113	3,513
0.29	90	3,603

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	462	462
0.53	551	1,013
0.54	399	1,412
0.55	10	1,422
0.57	5	1,427
0.58	175	1,602
0.59	60	1,662
0.61	72	1,734
0.67	1,454	3,188
0.68	212	3,400
0.70	113	3,513
0.71	90	3,603

Spread0.02Mid0.51

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	120	120
0.49	767	887
0.48	60	947
0.46	60	1,007
0.33	50	1,057
0.25	8	1,065
0.23	434	1,499
0.22	495	1,994
0.20	500	2,494
0.16	781	3,275
0.14	355	3,630
0.13	7,800	11,430

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
King-Nothing	Yes	1,046.19
TheOne777	Yes	650.31
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd	Yes	411
neutralwave23	Yes	215.4
pppnn	Yes	60
GuyFromTinder	Yes	49.55
RefJ.	Yes	12.66
0x3cd3…c5ae	Yes	9.97
congmqian-gendan	Yes	5.31
Petty.Bourgeoise	Yes	3.45
Valouass	Yes	2.17
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	1
mombil	No	890.16
dsds1	No	857.98
Mithrandir.	No	120
Dr.PNL	No	101.39
leadernew	No	72
SaraDuterte	No	60
youtube-trader	No	60
trashtier	No	60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:26:58	SELL	No	0.51	5	$2.55
01:38:20	BUY	Yes	0.48	5	$2.55
01:36:14	SELL	No	0.54	5	$2.72
01:36:13	BUY	Yes	0.4599997976	2	$1.00
01:36:11	SELL	No	0.54	91	$49.13
01:36:07	BUY	Yes	0.46	211	$97.06
18:47:52	BUY	Yes	0.4647071645	215	$100.10
15:00:13	BUY	No	0.55	40	$22.00
10:45:44	SELL	No	0.54	120	$64.80
08:38:18	BUY	Yes	0.44	60	$26.40
09:40:18	BUY	Yes	0.43	62	$26.62
09:38:37	SELL	Yes	0.43	10	$4.29
08:38:09	BUY	No	0.5063139211	890	$450.70
03:49:14	BUY	No	0.51	15	$7.66
03:46:41	BUY	Yes	0.5	5	$2.50
23:12:41	BUY	No	0.5	100	$50.00
23:12:08	BUY	No	0.5	100	$50.00
23:10:47	BUY	No	0.49	95	$46.55
20:18:45	BUY	No	0.49	5	$2.45
20:07:57	BUY	Yes	0.5	100	$50.00
20:00:21	BUY	Yes	0.48	58	$28.01
19:59:02	SELL	No	0.52	2	$0.85
19:58:59	BUY	Yes	0.4575291686	2	$1.00
19:58:53	BUY	Yes	0.4499998425	2	$1.00
19:58:48	BUY	Yes	0.4499998425	2	$1.00