PolyBot

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Traders

King-Nothing

0xd6933b203442073a7db4265e11f1797da2ce0c8a

Realised P&L
$438.05
Volume
$45.0k
Markets traded
228
Open portfolio
$928.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded228
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4750.490$512.63+$16.04
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yes0.5600.515$257.48−$22.50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.635$34.02+$4.02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3930.487$31.01+$6.01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2720.128$23.41−$26.59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5400.615$22.78+$2.78
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3690.205$22.22−$17.78
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2800.115$12.32−$17.68
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2750.141$7.72−$7.28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.091$5.23−$4.77
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Weibo Gaming0.6000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$15.00
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.5970.000$0.00−$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 20:18Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.49$2.45
10-08 20:07Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.5$50.00
10-08 20:00Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.48$28.01
10-08 19:58Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.4575291686$1.00
10-08 19:58Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-08 19:58Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-08 19:40Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.44$81.93
10-08 19:38Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.43$23.65
09-07 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.32$10.00
09-07 17:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
09-01 21:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.001$0.08
09-01 21:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSELL0.3947563177$78.73
09-01 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.1106000883$10.00
09-01 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.5013881558$100.00
09-01 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.7$30.00