King-Nothing
0xd6933b203442073a7db4265e11f1797da2ce0c8a
- Realised P&L
- $438.05
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $928.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.29at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$175.27at 0.128Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$164.96at 0.602US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
- +$160.05at 0.583Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$146.80at 0.726Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-08 20:07 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 20:00 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $28.01 |
| 10-08 19:58 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4575291686 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:58 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:58 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $81.93 |
| 10-08 19:38 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $23.65 |
| 09-07 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-01 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.3947563177 | $78.73 |
| 09-01 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1106000883 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5013881558 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $30.00 |