PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Petty.Bourgeoise

0x0a7926288a545db3d449105c3089183ca4d91cd5

Realised P&L
$25.20
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$34.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.115$3.68$1.12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3300.125$1.89$3.11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$1.50$0.81
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.200$1.11+$0.11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · Yes0.0600.065$1.08+$0.08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1800.185$1.03+$0.03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2300.235$1.02+$0.02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2800.285$1.02+$0.02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.100$1.00+$0.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1330.065$0.97$1.02
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$0.97$0.03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1300.125$0.96$0.04
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2200.210$0.95$0.05
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.205$0.85$0.15
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.135$0.84$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 21:30Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.54$1.35
08-30 06:28Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.5$3.21
08-29 22:35Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?SELL0.34$2.04
08-20 23:34Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?SELL0.1141303693$1.51
08-14 04:45Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?SELL0.413$2.36
08-13 19:54Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?SELL0.59$1.47
08-07 04:23Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$1.36
08-07 04:220 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?SELL0.175$1.92
08-06 05:17Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?SELL0.21$1.31
08-06 05:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.54$1.38
08-03 00:08Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?SELL0.071$1.49
08-03 00:08Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$1.30
08-02 23:57Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-02 23:55Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-02 23:54Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00