trashtier
0x7df61ca342c9b53ba9b4c60745718ed48a77ac3b
- Realised P&L
- $28.2k
- Volume
- $6.90M
- Markets traded
- 5,435
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,435
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.273Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.6kat 0.231Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament
- +$1.8kat 0.016US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
- +$1.3kat 0.087Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.3kat 0.752Will FalleN retire by June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:15 | Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:13 | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0151515152 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 18:38 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $698.60 |
| 10-31 18:37 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 18:37 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-31 18:36 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 10-31 18:36 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-31 07:45 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $104.00 |
| 10-31 07:45 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.87 | $104.40 |
| 10-30 23:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.9905991416 | $313.89 |
| 10-30 23:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.9783529412 | $415.80 |
| 10-30 16:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.006 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.803 | $321.20 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $148.68 |
| 10-29 17:46 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $184.00 |