Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.036. down 0.054 over the period, from 0.090. Range 0.033 to 0.090. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.038	487	487
0.039	1,289	1,776
0.040	3,460	5,236
0.041	1,710	6,946
0.042	530	7,475
0.043	3,888	11,363
0.045	712	12,075
0.046	143	12,218
0.048	1,410	13,629
0.049	880	14,509
0.050	646	15,155
0.056	4,227	19,382

Spread0.004Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.034	107	107
0.033	4,810	4,916
0.032	9,993	14,910
0.031	1,688	16,597
0.030	16,268	32,865
0.029	4,888	37,753
0.028	61	37,814
0.027	649	38,463
0.026	260	38,723
0.025	418	39,141
0.024	1,450	40,591
0.021	1,412	42,003

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.966	107	107
0.967	4,810	4,916
0.968	9,993	14,910
0.969	1,688	16,597
0.970	16,268	32,865
0.971	4,888	37,753
0.972	61	37,814
0.973	649	38,463
0.974	260	38,723
0.975	418	39,141
0.976	1,450	40,591
0.979	1,412	42,003

Spread0.004Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.962	487	487
0.961	1,289	1,776
0.960	3,460	5,236
0.959	1,710	6,946
0.958	530	7,475
0.957	3,888	11,363
0.955	712	12,075
0.954	143	12,218
0.952	1,410	13,629
0.951	880	14,509
0.950	646	15,155
0.944	4,227	19,382

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
neutralwave23	Yes	67,417.07
flawfence	Yes	58,900.3
MerziPuperzi	Yes	55,237.25
Danielj	Yes	44,928.82
Animalmother	Yes	40,376.26
jackcartwright	Yes	37,161.19
0x3d09…654f	Yes	37,110.66
0x6c1f…87fc	Yes	34,591.52
HaPe1965	Yes	30,162.04
Huluhol	Yes	24,926.52
dromedaryy	Yes	17,820.43
0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139	Yes	16,573
hanswurst0815	Yes	16,370.29
au6	Yes	16,145.07
occasionalAwareness	Yes	13,654.06
0x4CfB000767e3fd2170d9EA02E9CcB1D916b7442C-1763894946588	Yes	11,424.59
ScottyNooo	Yes	10,297
BrownBees	Yes	7,523.62
seal7	Yes	7,493.58
0x5E2xxx	Yes	6,663.39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:42:40	SELL	No	0.962	1	$0.96
22:16:00	SELL	No	0.962	6	$5.68
21:26:18	SELL	No	0.962	280	$269.36
17:30:43	BUY	Yes	0.037	134	$4.97
10:38:46	SELL	No	0.961	229	$219.66
10:12:37	SELL	Yes	0.0331462095	410	$13.60
01:17:21	SELL	Yes	0.032	145	$4.65
01:15:25	BUY	Yes	0.0329999998	61	$2.00
01:15:19	SELL	Yes	0.033	5	$0.17
01:15:18	SELL	Yes	0.0327823636	220	$7.21
01:15:13	SELL	Yes	0.0333463636	220	$7.34
01:15:12	SELL	Yes	0.0349216389	4,986	$174.12
01:15:10	BUY	No	0.968	98	$94.86
01:15:10	BUY	No	0.968	372	$359.64
01:15:10	BUY	No	0.9670494594	325	$314.56
21:08:51	BUY	Yes	0.0459999999	199	$9.15
21:04:04	SELL	No	0.954	860	$820.44
20:54:34	BUY	Yes	0.0454399142	186	$8.47
20:50:49	SELL	Yes	0.039	250	$9.75
20:46:27	BUY	Yes	0.0449999999	152	$6.82
20:04:04	BUY	Yes	0.0449758207	2,379	$107.00
19:25:55	SELL	No	0.9588426	100	$95.88
19:25:54	BUY	Yes	0.0411274972	467	$19.20
19:25:54	BUY	Yes	0.0395405668	1,265	$50.00
19:25:54	BUY	Yes	0.042	70	$2.95