Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.12 to 0.17. 139 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	199	199
0.15	6,048	6,246
0.16	9,679	15,925
0.17	324	16,249
0.18	300	16,549
0.19	1,135	17,684
0.20	345	18,029
0.21	400	18,429
0.23	10	18,439
0.24	419	18,858
0.25	1,110	19,968
0.26	1,000	20,968

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	2,942	2,942
0.12	6,107	9,049
0.11	6,434	15,483
0.10	1,578	17,061
0.09	1,061	18,122
0.08	530	18,652
0.07	1,646	20,299
0.06	394	20,692
0.05	1,330	22,022
0.04	2,287	24,310
0.03	383	24,693
0.02	19,534	44,227

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	2,942	2,942
0.88	6,107	9,049
0.89	6,434	15,483
0.90	1,578	17,061
0.91	1,061	18,122
0.92	530	18,652
0.93	1,646	20,299
0.94	394	20,692
0.95	1,330	22,022
0.96	2,287	24,310
0.97	383	24,693
0.98	19,534	44,227

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	199	199
0.85	6,048	6,246
0.84	9,679	15,925
0.83	324	16,249
0.82	300	16,549
0.81	1,135	17,684
0.80	345	18,029
0.79	400	18,429
0.77	10	18,439
0.76	419	18,858
0.75	1,110	19,968
0.74	1,000	20,968

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Danielj	Yes	44,928.82
au6	Yes	15,236.46
0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139	Yes	14,724.65
0x3d09…654f	Yes	10,925.96
youngcheese	Yes	7,523.62
0x5E2xxx	Yes	6,663.39
Copezilla	Yes	6,293.33
theo5	Yes	5,800
dstier86	Yes	5,016.59
juniorBrise	Yes	4,208.08
metadelta	Yes	4,093.83
sualafeld	Yes	3,353.1
GarthBroadmore	Yes	2,584.84
yogapinnacle	Yes	1,999.98
honk75	Yes	1,471.43
0xDE52764389959c64723F0369456a3d0479023386-1778526205952	Yes	1,354.76
Loun	Yes	1,215.81
DrChristian	Yes	1,167.01
0x9204…5c05	Yes	1,166.67
Crismon	Yes	1,130

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:08:29	BUY	Yes	0.1399999426	14	$2.00
17:24:27	SELL	No	0.86	9	$8.09
14:07:12	SELL	No	0.86	1	$1.02
14:06:48	SELL	No	0.86	0	$0.03
14:06:36	SELL	No	0.86	0	$0.01
14:06:36	SELL	Yes	0.13	29	$3.77
09:32:42	SELL	No	0.86	110	$94.78
06:41:54	BUY	Yes	0.1399998824	7	$1.00
05:20:12	BUY	Yes	0.1399998824	7	$1.00
21:14:42	BUY	No	0.86	27	$23.23
20:06:56	BUY	Yes	0.14999994	13	$2.00
18:50:54	BUY	No	0.86	33	$28.37
16:40:51	BUY	Yes	0.1499999965	214	$32.05
16:39:32	SELL	No	0.85	516	$438.85
15:19:48	SELL	No	0.8580558539	74	$63.91
09:59:41	SELL	No	0.85	0	$0.03
09:59:23	BUY	No	0.8699994315	1	$1.01
09:59:21	BUY	Yes	0.1409386344	1,130	$159.26
08:42:39	BUY	No	0.86	681	$585.72
08:34:27	SELL	No	0.85	29	$24.93
08:34:27	BUY	No	0.8599999659	1	$1.01
08:15:53	BUY	No	0.8599999989	35	$30.00
00:36:26	BUY	No	0.86	6	$5.09
22:41:12	SELL	No	0.85	6	$5.00
21:48:50	BUY	Yes	0.14	17	$2.36