Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.26. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.15 to 0.33. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	7,675	7,675
0.29	5,295	12,970
0.30	6,257	19,227
0.31	2,398	21,625
0.32	130	21,755
0.33	220	21,975
0.34	20	21,995
0.35	30	22,025
0.36	877	22,902
0.37	213	23,115
0.40	47	23,162
0.42	100	23,262

Spread0.01Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	242	242
0.25	1,498	1,740
0.24	564	2,304
0.23	2,599	4,903
0.22	10,144	15,047
0.21	10,984	26,031
0.20	19,740	45,771
0.19	6,645	52,416
0.18	6,402	58,818
0.17	17,194	76,012
0.16	11,011	87,023
0.15	3,175	90,198

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	242	242
0.75	1,498	1,740
0.76	564	2,304
0.77	2,599	4,903
0.78	10,144	15,047
0.79	10,984	26,031
0.80	19,740	45,771
0.81	6,645	52,416
0.82	6,402	58,818
0.83	17,194	76,012
0.84	11,011	87,023
0.85	3,175	90,198

Spread0.01Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	7,675	7,675
0.71	5,295	12,970
0.70	6,257	19,227
0.69	2,398	21,625
0.68	130	21,755
0.67	220	21,975
0.66	20	21,995
0.65	30	22,025
0.64	877	22,902
0.63	213	23,115
0.60	47	23,162
0.58	100	23,262

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Danielj	Yes	44,928.82
neutralwave23	Yes	38,298.71
jackcartwright	Yes	37,161.19
0x3d09…654f	Yes	37,110.66
LiquidatedDegen	Yes	26,666.67
SnowLover7	Yes	25,000
HaPe1965	Yes	24,980.39
Huluhol	Yes	24,926.52
flawfence	Yes	19,367.58
Animalmother	Yes	19,230.43
MerziPuperzi	Yes	19,166.24
Copezilla	Yes	17,539.94
0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139	Yes	16,573
Fuentes31	Yes	16,554.1
hanswurst0815	Yes	16,370.29
0x4CfB000767e3fd2170d9EA02E9CcB1D916b7442C-1763894946588	Yes	15,395.58
0x6B67037DC9a8D1f6f7B34C562181675743F91169-1774178871719	Yes	9,109.31
au6	Yes	9,000.01
ScottyNooo	Yes	7,675
0x6c1f…87fc	Yes	7,547.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:23:04	SELL	No	0.72	600	$432.00
20:23:00	BUY	No	0.73	10	$7.45
20:23:00	SELL	Yes	0.2533166348	455	$115.29
20:22:54	BUY	Yes	0.268499875	4,842	$1299.95
20:22:54	BUY	Yes	0.27	64	$17.36
20:22:37	BUY	No	0.7499999063	5	$4.00
20:00:58	SELL	No	0.74	5	$3.70
19:28:21	SELL	No	0.74	225	$166.50
19:27:55	SELL	No	0.74	175	$129.50
19:27:09	BUY	No	0.7499999963	133	$100.00
19:11:06	BUY	No	0.7499999625	13	$10.00
19:08:18	BUY	No	0.74	1,778	$1315.96
19:08:18	BUY	No	0.75	355	$266.25
19:04:30	BUY	Yes	0.2699999997	116	$31.28
19:00:49	SELL	No	0.73	59	$42.94
18:25:10	BUY	No	0.7399996448	1	$1.00
18:18:37	SELL	No	0.73	49	$35.80
18:18:34	SELL	No	0.73	258	$188.50
18:13:27	SELL	Yes	0.26	67	$17.31
18:13:27	SELL	No	0.74	275	$203.65
18:11:34	SELL	Yes	0.25	69	$17.31
18:11:34	SELL	Yes	0.25	69	$17.31
18:11:22	SELL	No	0.7451158746	391	$291.30
18:11:19	SELL	No	0.7419361084	1,033	$766.42
18:11:16	BUY	Yes	0.2496515769	19,050	$4755.96