PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BrownBees

0x75a27d0cc95b3586297c1e6b5417269332cd6992

Realised P&L
$74.1k
Volume
$1.12M
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$10.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2400.115$3.5k−$3.7k
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.445$1.7k+$399.57
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.6570.775$1.6k+$244.08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1150.103$1.0k−$116.29
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? · Yes0.4700.690$1.0k+$320.32
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? · Yes0.1710.165$648.56−$25.09
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? · Yes0.6950.765$423.58+$38.56
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1590.094$294.96−$205.03
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1530.036$270.85−$884.36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1380.100$248.75−$96.25
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2200.125$177.35−$134.79
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8400.915$19.57+$1.60
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$2.86
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00−$525.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$892.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:30Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?BUY0.73$36.50
10-13 15:00Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.93$455.69
10-12 22:32Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.058$8.00
10-12 16:32Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?BUY0.8454250098$736.18
10-12 15:53Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.65$6.90
10-12 15:52Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.82$53.37
10-03 21:43Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.19$2.66
10-03 21:42Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.63$135.90
10-01 12:40Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$2.86
09-29 22:39Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1267061704$5.17
09-28 19:03Will GPT Sol 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.71$14.20
09-28 13:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2499554877$1.4k
09-28 13:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.24$1.2k
09-23 15:46Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$1.60
09-22 11:29Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$451.94