PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x6c1fb68a250c75dcb321c56e1f21891d330787fc

Realised P&L
$63.6k
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.275$2.1k+$566.07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.145$485.77+$50.26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0500.060$42.55+$7.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:50Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$1.5k
09-17 14:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.13$45.37
09-17 14:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.05$5.00
09-17 14:43Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.05$10.00
09-12 15:04Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?BUY0.4$13.46
07-19 22:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0032005457$338.26
07-19 21:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0571313428$1.0k
07-19 21:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0577547229$981.83
07-19 21:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0574526163$919.24
07-14 20:51Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$28.56
07-14 20:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$80.00
07-14 20:49Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.006$96.00
07-14 20:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.014$224.00
07-14 20:46Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0180037494$288.06
07-14 20:43Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0168963688$270.34