au6
0xbeb93860ecf2117510f87132138ba8a07434aea6
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.275 | $2.5k | +$1.1k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:42 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $900.00 |
| 09-16 12:41 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $855.00 |
| 09-16 12:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 09-02 15:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $482.54 |
| 08-20 08:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $423.30 |
| 05-09 08:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 08:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 05-08 08:17 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $60.00 |
| 04-30 05:36 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $112.00 |
| 04-30 05:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $112.00 |
| 04-29 19:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 04-29 19:00 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 04-28 16:36 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.55 |
| 04-28 16:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $102.00 |
| 04-28 16:34 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $18.49 |